Budapest Post

Cum Deo pro Patria et Libertate
Budapest, Europe and world news

'It's crazy. There is no inventory.' Housing industry veteran marvels at real estate boom

'It's crazy. There is no inventory.' Housing industry veteran marvels at real estate boom

Jeffrey Mezger is a 40-year veteran of the real estate industry. He's never seen a stronger housing market than this one.

"It's crazy. There is no inventory," the CEO of KB Home told CNN Business.

For wannabe buyers, the shortage of homes on the market, combined with a surge of competition from other purchasers is setting off bidding wars, all-cash offers and no end of sticker shock.

But this one-two punch of very low supply and roaring demand is suiting homebuilders just fine.

"This is the best housing market I've seen in my career," Mezger said. "It's a good time to be a homebuilder."

KB Home's first-quarter profit swelled by 62%. It handled more home transactions than in any first quarter since 2008. The company's backlog surged by 74% in value, and nearly doubled in the West Coast.

"There isn't a city we're in where I would say it's a tough market," Mezger said.

Not only is KB Home (KBH) making far more money now than a year ago, it's making more money per home built. Profitability per unit is up 73% year-over-year to $41,000.

Record-low inventory


It's the polar opposite of what the company faced during the subprime bust that began around 2007, when the housing market was gripped with a massive oversupply problem that took almost a decade to correct. Construction of new homes collapsed in the aftermath of that crisis and never recovered. The supply of new homes remains very low today.

"We've been under-building for the last 15 years," said Mezger.

As of the end of February, housing inventory tumbled by nearly 30% year-over-year to a record low of 1.03 million, according to National Association of Realtors data that goes back to 1982. Last month, homes typically sold in just 20 days — a record low.

Supply is so short that it's limiting the number of homes getting sold. Existing home sales fell by almost 7% between February and March, according to the NAR, which blamed the decline on "historically low inventory."

Mortgage rates are creeping higher


New home sales have also cooled off recently.

In February, new home sales tumbled by 18% to a nine-month low. Economists blamed last month's freezing temperatures in parts of the United States but also said the sales drop points to concerns about high prices and affordability.

"Mortgage rates are rising, consumers are shifting spending to reopening activities vs. at-home and we aren't looking at the same degree of pent-up demand as in early 2020," economists at Bank of America wrote in a note to clients this week. "We think housing activity is set to moderate."

Mortgage rates remain very low historically, although they have crept higher in recent months. The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit 3.09% last week, the highest since June.

Higher borrowing costs will help cause housing affordability to decline by 5% to 6% this year, despite strong income growth, according to Bank of America.

Surging lumber costs are making homes more expensive


Still, housing CEOs remain upbeat, in part because demand is being driven by a new flock of buyers. Millennials make up the largest cohort of buyers for KB
Home, a trend the company said began before the pandemic.

"Post financial crisis, millennials either saw their parents lose their home, couldn't get a job or had a lot of student debt. Millennials deferred their first home purchase much longer than previous generations," said Mezger.

He added that KB Home is also seeing strong demand from Gen Z homebuyers.

Beyond affordability, one challenge facing homebuilders is skyrocketing construction costs.

Ninety-six percent of builders surveyed in the 2020 National Association of Home Builders survey reported building materials as the top challenge, up from just 66% in 2019.

The No. 1 culprit is the shortage of lumber. Prices for lumber have skyrocketed in recent months because surging demand and shrinking supply, making it much more expensive to build new homes.

The elevated price of lumber alone is adding about $24,000 to the price of new homes, according to the NAHB.

As for KB Home, "We've been able to raise price enough to cover the cost and raise our margin," Mezger said. "Demand is that strong."

AI Disclaimer: An advanced artificial intelligence (AI) system generated the content of this page on its own. This innovative technology conducts extensive research from a variety of reliable sources, performs rigorous fact-checking and verification, cleans up and balances biased or manipulated content, and presents a minimal factual summary that is just enough yet essential for you to function as an informed and educated citizen. Please keep in mind, however, that this system is an evolving technology, and as a result, the article may contain accidental inaccuracies or errors. We urge you to help us improve our site by reporting any inaccuracies you find using the "Contact Us" link at the bottom of this page. Your helpful feedback helps us improve our system and deliver more precise content. When you find an article of interest here, please look for the full and extensive coverage of this topic in traditional news sources, as they are written by professional journalists that we try to support, not replace. We appreciate your understanding and assistance.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
U.S. and Hungarian Officials Talk About Economic Collaboration and Sanctions Strategy
Technology Giants Activate Lobbying Campaigns Against Strict EU Regulations
Pope Francis Admitted to Hospital in Rome Amid Increasing Speculation on Succession
Zelensky Calls on World Leaders to Back Peace as Tensions Rise with Trump
UK Leader Keir Starmer Calls for US Security Guarantee in Ukraine Peace Deal
NATO Chief Urges Higher Defense Expenditure in Europe
The negotiation teams of Trump and Putin meet directly, establishing the groundwork for a significant advancement.
Rubio Touches Down in Riyadh Before Key U.S.-Russia Discussions
Students in Serbian universities Unite to Hold Coordinated Protests for Accountability.
US State Department Removes Taiwan Independence Statement from Website
Abolishing opposition won't protect Germany from Nazism—this is precisely what led Germany to become Nazi!
Transatlantic Gold Rush: Traders Shift Bullion in Response to Tariff Anxieties and Market Instability
Bill Ackman Backs Uber as the Company Shifts Towards Profitability
AI Titans Challenge Nvidia's Supremacy in Light of New Chip Innovations
US and Russian Officials to Meet in Saudi Arabia Over Ending Ukraine Conflict. Ukraine and European leaders – who profit from this war – excluded from the negotiations.
Macron Calls for Urgent Summit as Ukraine Conflict Business Model is Threatened
Trump’s Defense Secretary: Ukraine Won’t Join NATO or Regain Lost Territories
Zelensky Urges Europe to Bolster Its Military in Light of Uncertain US Backing
Chinese Zoo Confesses to Dyeing Donkeys to Look Like Zebras
Elon Musk is Sherlock Holmes - Movie Trailer Parody featuring Donald Trump's Detective
Trump's Greenland Suggestion Sparks Sovereignty Discussions Amid Historical Grievances
OpenAI Board Dismisses Elon Musk's Offer to Acquire the Company.
USAID Uncovered: American Taxpayer Funds Leveraged to Erode Democracy in Europe Until Trump Put a Stop to It.
JD Vance and Scholz Did Not Come Together at the Munich Security Conference.
EU Official Participates in Discussions in Washington Amid Trade Strains
Qatar Contemplates Reducing French Investments Due to PSG Chief Investigation
Germany's Green Agenda Encounters Ambiguity Before Elections
Trump Did Not Notify Germany's Scholz About His Ukraine Peace Proposal.
Munich Car Attack Escalates Migration Discourse Before German Elections
NATO Allies Split on Trump's Proposal for 5% Defense Spending Increase
European Parliament Advocates for Encrypted Messaging to Ensure Secure Communications
Trump's Defense Spending Goal Creates Division Among NATO Partners
French Prime Minister Bayrou Navigates a Challenging Path Amid Budget Preservation and Immigration Discourse
Steering Through the Updated Hierarchy at the European Commission
Parliamentarian Calls for Preservation of AI Liability Directive
Mark Rutte Calls on NATO Allies to Increase Defence Expenditures
Dresden Marks the 80th Anniversary of the World War II Bombing.
Global Community Pledges to Aid Syria's Political Transition
EU Allocates €200 Billion for AI Investments, Introduces €20 Billion Fund for Gigafactories
EU Recognizes Its Inability to Close the USAID Funding Shortfall Due to Stalled US Aid
Commission President von der Leyen Missing from Notre Dame Reopening Due to Last-Minute Cancellation
EU Officializes Disinformation Code for Online Platforms, Omitting X
EU Fails to Fully Implement Key Cybersecurity Directives
EU Under Fire for Simplification Discussions Regarding Corporate Sustainability Reporting
Shein Encountering Further Information Request from the EU During Ongoing Investigation
European Commission Initiates Investigation into Shein as It Aims at Chinese E-Commerce Regulations
German Officials Respond to U.S. Proposal for Peace Talks with Russia
Senate Approves Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services.
Trump and Putin Engage in Discussions on Ukraine Peace Negotiations Amid Worldwide Responses
Honda and Nissan End Merger Talks
×