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Ceasefire Reached as Israel Considers Coalition Stability

Negotiations in Doha Resolve Hostage Swap Crisis Amidst Israeli Political Tensions
Israeli officials announced late Thursday that a deal has been reached regarding the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian detainees, resolving a crisis over the specific individuals to be freed.

Dubbed the Doha Agreement, this deal holds significant international implications, particularly with the backing of the United States, which Israel would risk losing if the deal were rejected.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government is set to convene today to approve the agreement, and the release of the first hostages is anticipated to begin by Sunday.

However, the political stability of Netanyahu's coalition is in question, as some far-right partners oppose withdrawing from Gaza.

It's unclear whether Netanyahu has secured their support or if the cabinet will approve the agreement without them, potentially leading to the government's collapse.

Unverified reports from Israeli media suggested that a resolution might be adopted to retain Bezalel Smotrich's party in the coalition by affirming that the war against Hamas will not end until its military and governmental capabilities are dismantled.

Meanwhile, Itamar Ben Gvir has threatened his party's withdrawal from the government if the ceasefire is approved.

Opposition leader Yair Lapid has offered support for the agreement's adoption.

Netanyahu's office confirmed an agreement with Hamas over the hostage exchange and ceasefire, aligning with initial information released during indirect negotiations in Doha.

The Israeli security cabinet has approved the ceasefire, but a full governmental endorsement is still pending.

Reports indicate Hamas submitted additional demands, complicating negotiations, although Hamas has denied such claims.

Trusted sources, including journalist Barak Ravid, report that remaining issues have been resolved, with a ceasefire set to take effect Sunday if Netanyahu's cabinet consents.

The negotiation began under the Biden administration in May, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken visiting the region multiple times to facilitate talks.

Blinken expressed confidence that implementation would start by Sunday.

Hostages' families, eager for resolution, gathered in Tel Aviv, emphasizing nationwide support for the agreement's confirmation.

In Gaza, 98 hostages remain, with plans to release 33 in the first phase, contingent on Israel's withdrawal from Gaza.

Smotrich's Religious Zionism party supports continuation of hostilities until Hamas is eradicated, a demand seen as a breach of the agreement, potentially causing Smotrich's party to exit the coalition.

Diaspora Affairs Minister Amichai Chikli and other Likud party members have vowed to resign if a withdrawal of this nature occurs.

Despite internal divides, Israeli media expect Netanyahu's cabinet to approve the deal.

Fighting continues in Gaza, marking intensified conflict, with over 46,000 casualties reported by Hamas authorities.

Of the 251 hostages taken, 98 remain captive, with undisclosed survival rates.

Critics question the timing of the ceasefire agreement, with peace activist Maoz Inon expressing skepticism over the delayed negotiations, initially presented by President Biden in May 2023. Complex regional dynamics, including leadership vacuums within Hamas following targeted assassinations, have hindered progress.

However, current reports indicate Hamas, including its operational leader Muhammad Sinwar, agreed to the terms.

Hamas faces dwindling support from its traditional allies as regional attitudes shift, reducing the prospect of perpetuated conflict.

Qatar and other Arab states seek a stable Palestinian state rather than continuous war.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu likewise faces constrained options; he must navigate internal pressures, potential loss of U.S. support, and personal legal vulnerabilities.

Despite these challenges, the broader hope for lasting peace remains distant, with both Israeli and Hamas leaders entrenched in existing positions.

Amidst complex geopolitical pressures, new deadlines loom as regional players scrutinize the execution of this fragile truce.
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