Tisza Party Expands Lead Over Fidesz in Latest Polling
Public support for the opposition Tisza Party rises as the ruling Fidesz-KDNP faces stagnation amidst political controversies.
Recent polling by the Republikon Institute indicates that support for the opposition Tisza Party has increased by 2 percent, raising their total to 32 percent of the overall population, compared to 28 percent for the ruling Fidesz-KDNP party.
This marks a 3 percent increase for the Tisza Party since March, which allows them to lead by 4 percentage points over Fidesz-KDNP among the total population surveyed.
Among definite party voters, the Tisza Party maintains an even stronger position, garnering 39 percent compared to 35 percent for the governing coalition.
The Tisza Party has seen a 1 percent increase in this demographic, while the Fidesz-KDNP's support remained unchanged.
The research highlights a growing sentiment among opposition voters that establishing a strong front behind the Tisza Party is essential for regaining preferred electoral outcomes by 2030. Analysts noted that the Tisza Party has consistently increased its support since its emergence, even in a period when it might have seemed it had reached its capacity for growth.
Notably, the Fidesz-KDNP coalition has faced controversy, particularly surrounding the “Kollár Kinga” affair, which has failed to significantly affect their standing in the polls.
Currently, the ruling party focuses on potential distribution strategies aimed at enhancing its popularity before upcoming elections.
Additionally, the polling data suggests that alongside the Tisza Party and Fidesz, the Mi Hazánk and the Democratic Coalition (DK) are also viable contenders for parliamentary seats in the 2026 elections.
The DK’s support remains stable at 6 percent among the total population and 7 percent among definitive voters.
The Mi Hazánk has increased its support by 1 percent among the total population and 2 percentage points among party voters, currently standing at 6 and 8 percent respectively.
In contrast, the polling results indicate a decline for the Dog Party, which has lost 1 percentage point in overall support and 2 points among defined party voters, now falling to 3 percent support overall and dropping below the parliamentary threshold for the first time in months.
The Momentum Party has also seen a decrease, similarly losing 1 point among both overall and definite voters, with current support at 2 percent and 3 percent respectively.
The Republikon Institute reports that 2 percent of respondents support the Dialogue for Hungary Party, while Jobbik and the Socialist Party (MSZP) each hold 1 percent, and the LMP shows no measurable support.
Support for other parties is at 1 percent, while the proportion of undecided voters has reduced from 23 percent to 18 percent.
The study emphasizes that cooperation between the Fidesz-KDNP and Mi Hazánk appears plausible, while a coalition involving the Tisza Party and DK is seen as highly incompatible.
Should the Tisza Party win the elections following 16 years of Fidesz governance, it would face significant challenges.
The polling was conducted via telephone interviews with a sample size of 1,500 from April 9 to April 18, 2025, representing the adult population of the country across gender, age, educational attainment, and settlement type, with a margin of error of +/- 3%.
This marks a 3 percent increase for the Tisza Party since March, which allows them to lead by 4 percentage points over Fidesz-KDNP among the total population surveyed.
Among definite party voters, the Tisza Party maintains an even stronger position, garnering 39 percent compared to 35 percent for the governing coalition.
The Tisza Party has seen a 1 percent increase in this demographic, while the Fidesz-KDNP's support remained unchanged.
The research highlights a growing sentiment among opposition voters that establishing a strong front behind the Tisza Party is essential for regaining preferred electoral outcomes by 2030. Analysts noted that the Tisza Party has consistently increased its support since its emergence, even in a period when it might have seemed it had reached its capacity for growth.
Notably, the Fidesz-KDNP coalition has faced controversy, particularly surrounding the “Kollár Kinga” affair, which has failed to significantly affect their standing in the polls.
Currently, the ruling party focuses on potential distribution strategies aimed at enhancing its popularity before upcoming elections.
Additionally, the polling data suggests that alongside the Tisza Party and Fidesz, the Mi Hazánk and the Democratic Coalition (DK) are also viable contenders for parliamentary seats in the 2026 elections.
The DK’s support remains stable at 6 percent among the total population and 7 percent among definitive voters.
The Mi Hazánk has increased its support by 1 percent among the total population and 2 percentage points among party voters, currently standing at 6 and 8 percent respectively.
In contrast, the polling results indicate a decline for the Dog Party, which has lost 1 percentage point in overall support and 2 points among defined party voters, now falling to 3 percent support overall and dropping below the parliamentary threshold for the first time in months.
The Momentum Party has also seen a decrease, similarly losing 1 point among both overall and definite voters, with current support at 2 percent and 3 percent respectively.
The Republikon Institute reports that 2 percent of respondents support the Dialogue for Hungary Party, while Jobbik and the Socialist Party (MSZP) each hold 1 percent, and the LMP shows no measurable support.
Support for other parties is at 1 percent, while the proportion of undecided voters has reduced from 23 percent to 18 percent.
The study emphasizes that cooperation between the Fidesz-KDNP and Mi Hazánk appears plausible, while a coalition involving the Tisza Party and DK is seen as highly incompatible.
Should the Tisza Party win the elections following 16 years of Fidesz governance, it would face significant challenges.
The polling was conducted via telephone interviews with a sample size of 1,500 from April 9 to April 18, 2025, representing the adult population of the country across gender, age, educational attainment, and settlement type, with a margin of error of +/- 3%.
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