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Hungary Faces Critical Decision on Interest Payments Totaling 400 Billion Forints

Hungary Faces Critical Decision on Interest Payments Totaling 400 Billion Forints

The upcoming weeks will see significant interest payouts for government bondholders, raising investment considerations amidst shifting rates.
Hungary's financial landscape is poised for significant changes as the Central Government Debt Management Agency prepares to disburse approximately 400 billion forints in interest payments over the coming days.

According to analysis, on February 20, the Ministry will commence high interest payouts for 2.2 trillion forints worth of Premium Hungarian Government Bonds (PMÁP), marking a pivotal moment for investors in these instruments.

On February 20, and continuing through to February 24, multiple series of government bonds will yield their highest interest rates to date.

The 2026/J and 2030/I series will pay interest on Thursday, February 21 will see payouts from the 2029/I series, followed by interest from the 2028/I series on February 23, and concluding with the 2027/K series on February 24. These bond series collectively account for a total interest payout exceeding 400 billion forints.

Following these payments, the interest rates on PMÁP bonds will experience a decline, falling to lower rates of 4.45% or 5.2%.

With current rates on other retail bonds ranging from 5.5% to 7.9%, investors may contemplate moving their capital into alternative investments.

The report suggests that even after accounting for a 1% redemption fee charged by the treasury and potentially higher costs from other distributors, such a reassignment of funds may still be advantageous for investors.

Currently available discount treasury bills and government bonds offer rates between 5.5% to 6.68%, prompting banks, investment firms, and insurance companies to present competitive investment options for those contemplating liquidating their PMÁP holdings.

Moreover, the influx of HMÁP payouts is anticipated to influence Hungary's real estate market as investor behavior shifts in response to changing interest rates.

The potential strategies that could arise for the reinvestment of PMÁP funds is a focal point of analysis in ongoing discussions related to these developments.
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