Budapest Post

Cum Deo pro Patria et Libertate
Budapest, Europe and world news

Czexit could be closer than we think

Czexit could be closer than we think

Is Czexit closer than we think? Ahead of the Czech general elections in October, the rise of an anti-EU party as a potential kingmaker is making a referendum on EU membership a distinct possibility.
‘No to EU dictates,’ ‘Freedom to think, speak and breathe,‘ ‘Lockdown is not a solution,’ read election posters plastered around Prague by the Czech Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) party. This hard-line anti-EU, anti-immigration, anti-lockdown and vaccine-sceptic movement – which is currently polling at around 12 per cent – may hold the key to power for the ruling ANO party after a hotly contested election campaign.

The Czech electoral landscape has turned on its head since the spring. Then, the darkest days of the pandemic seemed to have dealt a death sentence to ANO’s chances of remaining in government. The colourful Czech Pirates were then riding a wave of optimism, polling far ahead of any other party at around 28 per cent.

Now, the tables have turned and polls consistently put prime minister Andrej Babiš’s party, ANO, far ahead of the Pirates. The Pirates profited during the pandemic from a sense that desperate times called for drastic politics. But now normal life has returned Czech voters seem more cautious about the rejection of conventional politics advocated by the Pirates and their dreadlocked leader Ivan Bartoš.

Still, for many ANO’s controversial leader Andrej Babiš is political poison. He currently faces a police investigation into his alleged conflicts of interest – which include his continued influence over the huge Agrofert conglomerate, a major recipient of EU subsidies. The Pirates and the centre-right SPOLU coalition, both polling at around 20 per cent, have already ruled out going into coalition with Babiš. ANO is likely to have first dibs at forming a government – but its options are limited.

The party may therefore be left with no choice but to negotiate with the eurosceptic SPD, led by Tomio Okamura, a samurai-sword wielding, anti-immigrant Japanese-Czech politician who is every bit as divisive a figure as Babiš.

For metropolitan Czech voters, an ANO-SPD coalition would be an unholy alliance. Yet Okamura‘s party appeals to voters who dislike Babiš’s corrosive effect on politics, but are equally unsettled by the strongly pro-EU stance of the Pirates and SPOLU. As Brussels attempts to intervene in the domestic affairs of nearby member states such as Poland and Hungary, the SPD’s emphasis on Czech traditional culture and national sovereignty strikes a powerful chord.

Okamura has smelt blood, recently announcing that an EU referendum must be on the table for the SPD to consider entering into a government coalition. Significantly, this has coincided with increasingly eurosceptic rhetoric from Babiš. The prime minister welcomed his Hungarian counterpart Viktor Orbán on the ANO campaign trail this week, shortly after a trip to Budapest in which both leaders railed against Brussels’ failure to stamp out illegal immigration at the borders of the Schengen zone.

When it comes to the EU, Babiš increasingly resembles Orbán and Okamura. This is perhaps no surprise given the European Parliament‘s extraordinary decision to effectively call for his resignation earlier this year. Babiš has also attacked global developments which many in the region believe the EU represents: greater levels of multiculturalism and the import of ‘cancel culture’. He claims the Pirates would sacrifice Czech national identity on the altar of globalism.

As the rhetorical styles of Babiš and Okamura converge, the SPD’s demand for an EU referendum no longer seems as fanciful as it would have done a few months ago. And while Okamura’s anti-establishment party has said Babiš’s departure as prime minister is another prerequisite for their entering government, they may find agreement on a referendum an acceptable compromise.

What would be the outcome of such a referendum? ‘Remain would win, of course,’ goes the familiar refrain – but similar words were on most lips before the Brexit vote. Surveys indicate that the Czech Republic has the highest levels of euroscepticism of any Visegrád Four country, with the latest Eurobarometer poll suggesting as few as 49 per cent trust the EU and only 38 per cent take a positive view of the country’s membership. As in the UK, these attitudes tend to be focused in more traditionalist and rural parts of the country often overlooked by pollsters.

With a referendum on Czech EU membership now becoming more than a mere fantasy, success for the SPD in the coming vote would set a precedent for other Central European countries at loggerheads with Brussels. For politicians like Okamura and eurosceptics in Poland, Hungary and beyond, Brexit showed that no matter how messy and painful it may be, leaving the EU is possible. If the SPD makes it into government after the general election, Czechs may soon be faced with an even more fundamental decision about their nation’s future.
AI Disclaimer: An advanced artificial intelligence (AI) system generated the content of this page on its own. This innovative technology conducts extensive research from a variety of reliable sources, performs rigorous fact-checking and verification, cleans up and balances biased or manipulated content, and presents a minimal factual summary that is just enough yet essential for you to function as an informed and educated citizen. Please keep in mind, however, that this system is an evolving technology, and as a result, the article may contain accidental inaccuracies or errors. We urge you to help us improve our site by reporting any inaccuracies you find using the "Contact Us" link at the bottom of this page. Your helpful feedback helps us improve our system and deliver more precise content. When you find an article of interest here, please look for the full and extensive coverage of this topic in traditional news sources, as they are written by professional journalists that we try to support, not replace. We appreciate your understanding and assistance.
Newsletter

Related Articles

0:00
0:00
Close
One in Three Europeans Now Uses TikTok, According to the Chinese Tech Giant
Could AI Nursing Robots Help Healthcare Staffing Shortages?
NATO Deploys ‘Eastern Sentry’ After Russian Drones Violate Polish Airspace
The New Life of Novak Djokovic
German police raid AfD lawmaker’s offices in inquiry over Chinese payments
Volkswagen launches aggressive strategy to fend off Chinese challenge in Europe’s EV market
France Erupts in Mass ‘Block Everything’ Protests on New PM’s First Day
Poland Shoots Down Russian Drones in Airspace Violation During Ukraine Attack
Apple Introduces Ultra-Thin iPhone Air, Enhanced 17 Series and New Health-Focused Wearables
Macron Appoints Sébastien Lecornu as Prime Minister Amid Budget Crisis and Political Turmoil
Vatican hosts first Catholic LGBTQ pilgrimage
Apple Unveils iPhone 17 Series, iPhone Air, Apple Watch 11 and More at 'Awe Dropping' Event
France joins Eurozone’s ‘periphery’ as turmoil deepens, say investors
France Faces New Political Crisis, again, as Prime Minister Bayrou Pushed Out
Nayib Bukele Points Out Belgian Hypocrisy as Brussels Considers Sending Army into the Streets
France, at an Impasse, Heads Toward Another Government Collapse
The Country That Got Too Rich? Public Spending Dominates Norway Election
EU Proposes Phasing Out Russian Oil and Gas by End of 2027 to End Energy Dependence
More Than 150,000 Followers for a Fictional Character: The New Influencers Are AI Creations
EU Prepares for War
Trump Threatens Retaliatory Tariffs After EU Imposes €2.95 Billion Fine on Google
Tesla Board Proposes Unprecedented One-Trillion-Dollar Performance Package for Elon Musk
Gold Could Reach Nearly $5,000 if Fed Independence Is Undermined, Goldman Sachs Warns
Uruguay, Colombia and Paraguay Secure Places at 2026 World Cup
Trump Administration Advances Plans to Rebrand Pentagon as Department of War Instead of the Fake Term Department of Defense
Big Tech Executives Laud Trump at White House Dinner, Unveil Massive U.S. Investments
Tether Expands into Gold Sector with Profit-Driven Diversification
‘Looks Like a Wig’: Online Users Express Concern Over Kate Middleton
Florida’s Vaccine Revolution: DeSantis Declares War on Mandates
Trump’s New War – and the ‘Drug Tyrant’ Fearing Invasion: ‘1,200 Missiles Aimed at Us’
"The Situation Has Never Been This Bad": The Fall of PepsiCo
At the Parade in China: Laser Weapons, 'Eagle Strike,' and a Missile Capable of 'Striking Anywhere in the World'
The Fashion Designer Who Became an Italian Symbol: Giorgio Armani Has Died at 91
Putin Celebrates ‘Unprecedentedly High’ Ties with China as Gazprom Seals Power of Siberia-2 Deal
China Unveils New Weapons in Grand Military Parade as Xi Hosts Putin and Kim
Rapper Cardi B Cleared of Liability in Los Angeles Civil Assault Trial
Google Avoids Break-Up in U.S. Antitrust Case as Stocks Rise
Couple celebrates 80th wedding anniversary at assisted living facility in Lancaster
Information Warfare in the Age of AI: How Language Models Become Targets and Tools
The White House on LinkedIn Has Changed Their Profile Picture to Donald Trump
"Insulted the Prophet Muhammad": Woman Burned Alive by Angry Mob in Niger State, Nigeria
Trump Responds to Death Rumors – Announces 'Missile City'
Druzhba Pipeline Incident Sparks Geopolitical Tensions
Cost of Opposition Leader Péter Magyar's Economic Plan Revealed
Germany in Turmoil: Ukrainian Teenage Girl Pushed to Death by Illegal Iraqi Migrant
United Krack down on human rights: Graham Linehan Arrested at Heathrow Over Three X Posts, Hospitalised, Released on Bail with Posting Ban
Asian and Middle Eastern Investors Avoid US Markets
Ray Dalio Warns of US Shift to Autocracy
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.1% in August
Russia and China Sign New Gas Pipeline Deal
×