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Potential Trump Win May Impact Stability of Germany's Coalition Government

Germany's coalition government is facing critical decisions that could affect its stability, especially concerning the federal budget and pension reform. A potential win for Donald Trump in the U.S. election might compel the coalition to unify, despite significant disagreements over fiscal policies. Alternatively, a Kamala Harris victory might result in continued internal political tensions, potentially leading to an early end of the coalition.
Germany's coalition government, consisting of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Free Democratic Party (FDP), and the Greens, is encountering potential instability due to critical decisions on the federal budget and pension reform.

As Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition struggles, a potential win for Donald Trump in the upcoming United States presidential election may influence German political dynamics.

Senior SPD lawmaker Ralf Stegner and FDP parliamentarian Reinhard Houben cite increased external pressure under a Trump presidency as a factor that might unify the coalition to avoid early elections.

However, fundamental disagreements remain, particularly over budget deficits and pension reforms.

FDP leaders propose budget cuts, while SPD and Greens advocate for increased spending.

The pension reform is contentious, with disagreements over raising worker contributions.

The coalition's future could also hinge on the election outcome.

A win by Vice President Kamala Harris might encourage more internal conflict, as leaders may feel secured by a stable U.S. ally.
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