Intense Rainfall in Dubai Linked to El Nino and Global Warming, Scientists Find
Scientists from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) have determined that the intensified El Nino climate pattern, coupled with global warming, contributed to the severe rainfall devastating the United Arab Emirates.
The research team dismissed the possibility that artificial intervention caused the weather event, which claimed at least 23 lives in the Arabian Peninsula floods.
In a recent analysis, A group of international climate experts at WWA studied the unprecedented April flooding in the UAE, which also caused significant damage in Qatar, Oman, and even Yemen, which lies much further away.
Researchers pointed to global warming and urbanization as the causes behind the extreme weather phenomenon, according to The Guardian. The experts found that the region's torrential rains were nearly 40 percent stronger due to the increasing effects of El Nino. A total of 254 millimeters of precipitation fell, making it the highest amount recorded since measurements began in the desert country in 1949. WWA climate experts also suggested that the deadly April weather could have resulted from the Middle East's reliance on fossil fuels.
Weather Modification Debunked
Following the deluge, speculation arose that weather modification could have been behind the phenomenon. The UAE has been deploying certain techniques since the 1990s to alleviate drought conditions. Initially employed in the United States during the 1940s, these methods involve seeding clouds with various materials, such as salt or silver iodide, to induce rain and snowfall. In the Emirates, such practices are attempted up to 300 times per year.
However, the Dubai Meteorological Center confirmed that no cloud seeding operations were conducted on the day of the flood. WWA's latest study also concluded that even if there had been artificial intervention, it could not have produced such a vast amount of precipitation.
Meteorology professors from the University of Reading explicitly refuted the possibility of intervention. According to an article on the university's website, an enormous, elongated weather system consisting of medium-sized thunderclouds developed over the Persian-Arabian Gulf region, fueled and expanded by warm, moist air rising from the surface.
Meteorologist András Reisz, responding to inquiries from Index, found it unlikely that the clouds had been tampered with before the natural disaster. Satellite images of the Dubai area showed that the downpours and resultant flash floods were caused by a cyclone made up of thunderclouds. He noted that this process resembles the formation of larger storms or hurricanes from cyclones in the Caribbean.
Reisz believes the event in the southern Arabian Peninsula was caused by a combination of natural forces and human actions, including the increasingly severe climate change.
Friederike Otto, a researcher at the London-based Grantham Institute for Climate Change, called for an end to fossil fuel combustion. She noted the lack of permeable surfaces due to urbanization, turning streets into rivers in short periods. Otto described the situation as a death trap and urged immediate action to address the issue.
Rainstorm Claims at Least 23 Lives Across the Arabian Peninsula
As previously reported, at least 23 people died due to the floods that struck the Arabian Peninsula. On April 16 and 17, the United Arab Emirates experienced an unprecedented rainstorm, with more than a year and a half's worth of rain falling within 12 hours. The deluge temporarily shut down Dubai International Airport (DXB) as well.
Social media was inundated with videos of airplanes swimming in water and the extensive floods. One man recorded a video from his car window, showing a street transformed into a river, with the rushing waters causing damage to both shops and residences.
Like the rest of the United Arab Emirates, Dubai typically enjoys a hot and dry climate with rare precipitation, leading to limited infrastructure, including inadequate drainage systems, to handle situations akin to the recent events.