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Global Stock Markets Plunge Amidst Rising Trade Tensions

Global Stock Markets Plunge Amidst Rising Trade Tensions

Significant losses recorded across major indices following the announcement of drastic tariffs by the US government.
In recent days, global stock markets have experienced unprecedented declines, triggered by the announcement of sweeping tariffs imposed by the United States.

The S&P 500, a key index tracking the performance of 500 large companies in the US, plummeted by 9%, with predictions indicating a potential further fall of 7-8% in the near term.

This downturn marks the largest market drop since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

As fears of an impending recession rise, a wave of selling has swept through international exchanges as both retail and institutional investors look to protect their assets.

In Hungary, the BUX index, which tracks the most significant stocks on the Budapest Stock Exchange, fell by 9.4% within a few days.

The sharp decline involved major companies, with financial institutions like OTP losing over 20% of their market value, illustrating widespread panic among investors.

The turbulence was attributed to the uncertainty stemming from President Donald Trump's abrupt shift in trade policy, which undermined decades of established global trading systems.

Key indicators of the crisis included significant losses in European markets, where the FTSE 100 and DAX indices fell by approximately 10% within days.

Globally, investor sentiment has shifted dramatically, with fears of a recession becoming prominent.

The price of crude oil has similarly reflected the tumultuous market, with WTI prices dropping to below $60, marking a 15% decrease, while Brent crude also fell from $75 to $64.1.

Against this backdrop, investors have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets, as evidenced by gold prices soaring to approximately $3,060 per ounce.

As markets grapple with these challenges, the Hungarian economy faces additional pressures.

The Hungarian government's upcoming credit rating announcement from Standard & Poor's is particularly concerning, as previous assessments indicated dissatisfaction with Hungary's fiscal performance.

With increasing budget deficits and economic uncertainty, analysts anticipate further downturns in the Hungarian forint.

In response to the turmoil, Vietnamese authorities indicated they might waive tariffs on US goods, should the US reconsider its stance, causing stock prices of companies like Nike and Lululemon, which have manufacturing ties to Vietnam, to rise.

Monday also witnessed continued volatility in both local and global equity markets.

Although some buyers began to emerge after initial panic selling, the ongoing implications of US trade policies contribute to a heightened sense of instability.

Investors and analysts alike are closely monitoring the evolving situation, as it bears significant ramifications for economies worldwide.

The foreign exchange markets have also been affected, with the forint depreciating against the euro and other currencies.

As the Hungarian central bank prepares to release inflation data, and with the potential for a credit downgrade looming, the situation for the forint remains precarious.

Overall, the cascading effect of the situation highlights the interconnected nature of global economies and the immediate impacts of policy changes executed at the highest levels.
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