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Budapest on the Brink: Financial Strains Amidst Government Policies

Budapest on the Brink: Financial Strains Amidst Government Policies

Hungarian local governments face fiscal challenges as national policies and inflation tighten budget constraints, leaving major cities struggling.
In recent years, Hungarian municipalities have encountered increasing financial pressures, with opposition-led major cities bearing the brunt of these challenges.

According to a report by Népszava, while the Hungarian government has outwardly increased budgetary subsidies for local governments, these gains have been undercut by rising inflation and increased fiscal demands placed on municipalities.

Although budgetary support for local governments appeared to grow from HUF 821 billion in 2020 to a projected HUF 1,350 billion in 2025—a nominal increase of 64%—inflationary pressures have significantly eroded these gains.

With inflation rising 48.5% over the same period, the real value of government support has effectively decreased by about 18%.

A notable pinch comes from the increasing 'solidarity contribution'—a mandatory payment by municipalities—growing from HUF 58 billion in 2020 to an anticipated HUF 360 billion in 2025. This reduction in net funding has put a significant strain on local budgets, resulting in a net transfer of HUF 990.5 billion to municipalities in 2025, reflecting a mere nominal increase of 29.8% since 2020.

The impact of these financial adjustments is uneven across Hungary's approximately 3,200 municipalities.

While about a third of them are contributing to the solidarity payments, two-thirds benefit from redistribution.

However, the overarching fiscal pressure affects the local government system as a whole, with many municipalities experiencing decreased real financial support compared to 2020.

The government has argued that municipal revenues, from sources such as local business taxes, have risen.

However, there have been instances where the government has re-appropriated revenues, particularly affecting larger, opposition-led cities.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the government waived a portion of business tax revenues to aid struggling small and medium-sized enterprises.

This loss in revenue was not fully offset by state compensation, hitting larger opposition-led municipalities hardest.

Népszava suggests that the Hungarian government's fiscal policies may be pushing Budapest toward financial insolvency.

Recent government measures have prohibited the transfer of municipal company debts.

Previously, Budapest balanced its transportation budget by arranging short-term bank loans, which were repaid the following spring.

The city now finds itself scrambling for financial solutions.

Further compounding Budapest's challenges, the city requires a HUF 40 billion overdraft facility to avoid depleting its cash reserves.

The overdraft is needed until tax payments replenish accounts, temporarily dipping to a deficit of approximately HUF 60 billion by September before returning to a HUF 40 billion shortfall, poised for repayment by year-end.

These complex financial dynamics reveal the challenges local governments in Hungary face, illustrating the broader implications of national policies on municipal fiscal health.
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