Think Tank Discusses Potential European Responses to a Possible Second Trump Presidency
On January 19, 2025, a publication on the Bruegel website discussed how Europe might prepare for a second term under former U.S. President
Donald Trump.
The authors expressed concerns that Trump might undermine European integration if European governments do not counteract his influence.
According to the article, the policies of Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orban have already posed significant challenges to the European Union's political framework before Trump's tenure.
The analysis in the publication claims that the rule of law has been dismantled in Hungary and that Poland and Slovakia might view Hungary as an example.
The authors also raised concerns about potential 'mini-Trumps' emerging across Europe, who may utilize their veto powers.
Bruegel's authors highlighted Orban's role in leveraging EU laws and institutions, all while negotiating side agreements with Russia and China, which could compromise EU unity.
They warn that Trump might advocate for further bilateral agreements to potentially detach certain EU countries.
The think tank emphasized the importance of maintaining the United States' defense support for Europe, suggesting increased defense budget contributions from European nations.
One of their significant proposals includes excluding Hungary from collective EU defense procurements.
They suggest involving non-EU members like the United Kingdom and Norway in these procurement agreements.
The article reflects broader debates on the EU's cohesion and strategic autonomy in the face of significant geopolitical shifts and internal challenges.